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Prediction in an uncertain worldopen.substack.com/pub/econguykonrad/p/prediction-in-an-uncertain-world?r=d1sr3&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
403 sats \ 0 comments \ @ankh_konrad 20 Jul 2024 econ
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Predicting the Sharps: Adam Iscoe Long Read on Prediction Market Traderswww.nytimes.com/2026/05/26/magazine/polymarket-prediction-wall-street.html
4411 sats \ 11 comments \ @denlillaapan 27 May the_stacker_muse BooksAndArticles econ
The dream scenario for prediction marketswww.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2025/06/25/the-dream-scenario-for-prediction-markets
383 sats \ 2 comments \ @south_korea_ln 27 Jun 2025 oracle
Why Probability Probably Doesn’t Exist (but It’s Useful to Act like It Does)www.scientificamerican.com/article/why-probability-probably-doesnt-exist-but-its-useful-to-act-like-it-does/
253 sats \ 1 comment \ @ch0k1 26 Dec 2024 science
Prediction Markets Suck
1354 sats \ 11 comments \ @futarchyfan 5 Apr tech
Geopolitical tensions: Markets tend to price risk, not hopebondvigilantes.com/blog/2026/05/geopolitical-tensions-markets-tend-to-price-risk-not-hope/
421 sats \ 0 comments \ @0xbitcoiner 19 May Stacker_Stocks econ
'Can you predict the future? Yes, of course you can': Inside the 1 equation, YES
314 sats \ 0 comments \ @Coinsreporter 12 Oct 2024 BooksAndArticles
Prediction Markets and Reality: Predicting or Making the Weather? (Matt Levine)www.bloomberg.com/opinion/newsletters/2026-04-23/traders-do-something-about-the-weather
1294 sats \ 5 comments \ @denlillaapan 23 Apr econ
Prediction markets: can betting be good for the world? (2021)www.youtube.com/watch?v=xA27x7GRMZQ
1004 sats \ 30 comments \ @ek 9 Dec 2023 oracle freebie
Prediction Markets Have an Elections Problemasteriskmag.com/issues/05/prediction-markets-have-an-elections-problem-jeremiah-johnson
3563 sats \ 10 comments \ @elvismercury 30 Jan 2024 oracle
Prediction Markets Predicting Markets or MAKING them? (Bloomberg, Matt Levine)news.bloomberglaw.com/banking-law/matt-levines-money-stuff-dont-free-little-joe
1718 sats \ 15 comments \ @denlillaapan 20 May econ
Financial Risk Just Moves Prices, Physical Risk Moves the World (Bookstaber,NYT)www.nytimes.com/2026/03/16/opinion/financial-crisis-private-credit-ai-iran-taiwan.html
3955 sats \ 4 comments \ @denlillaapan 19 Mar Politics_And_Law econ
2026 World Cup Predictions (Silver Bulletin, Nate Silver)www.natesilver.net/p/world-cup-2026-odds-predictions
2302 sats \ 8 comments \ @denlillaapan 3 Jun Stacker_Sports
Prediction Markets Are All Zero-Sum Grift (Matt Levine, Money Stuff)www.bloomberg.com/opinion/newsletters/2026-04-28/the-robots-make-the-predictions
1157 sats \ 23 comments \ @denlillaapan 28 Apr Stacker_Sports econ
NIP-99: Prediction markets (Draft)github.com/nostr-protocol/nips/pull/517
3457 sats \ 21 comments \ @ek 11 May 2023 nostr
Predicting our own demise - Agustin Lebronreducibleerrors.com/prediction-markets/
827 sats \ 5 comments \ @Scoresby 25 Aug 2025 econ
🚀 Prediction Markets 101 🎯
328 sats \ 4 comments \ @mega_dreamer 3 Feb 2025 oracle
What is a Prediction Market, and Why Should You Care?
943 sats \ 6 comments \ @mega_dreamer 25 Dec 2024 oracle
Why prediction markets aren’t popularworksinprogress.co/issue/why-prediction-markets-arent-popular/
3113 sats \ 22 comments \ @k00b 23 Jan 2025 oracle
Sunday Survey: Year-end Price Prediction
1225 sats \ 12 comments \ @jimmysong 9 Jul 2023 bitcoin
My AI Predictionblog.hermesloom.org/p/my-ai-prediction-employment-will
351 sats \ 0 comments \ @co574 22 Feb AI
Prediction Markets on SN · Issue #309 · stackernews/stacker.newsgithub.com/stackernews/stacker.news/issues/309
1760 sats \ 5 comments \ @ek 10 Jun 2023 meta