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I need to pick a 11/12/13 seed on Thu or Fri

from the power rank newsletter:

My college basketball team rankings take margin of victory in games and adjust for strength of schedule based on my algorithms at The Power Rank. Here are my tournament win probabilities based on these numbers:

Arizona, 29.8%.
Michigan, 23.6%.
Duke, 19.2%.
Florida, 8.9%.
Houston, 4.8%.
Iowa State, 3.6%.
UConn, 2.9%.
Purdue, 1.3%.

In contrast to these numbers, the markets favor Michigan and Duke despite injuries to key players.