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Re-reading this morning less bleary eyed
holding the bag
What's your vision for London UK over the next 5yrs?
I think about your response and my post was too centred on a specific subject, where the reality is 5D chess, with multi-faceted variable factions, jockeying for position in the greatest show on earth
The beginning of the first turning
The new world order, if US China and Russia divvy up the world, where does UK and perhaps western EU get left? as per my question
There's been signals that have made me buy into the theory that the FVEY countries become US states / protectorates... It's been pretty overt with Canada and Australia... NZ and the UK less so.... not sure exactly how that looks but it probably comes wrapped in a bailout from a sovereign financial crisis as pretext for regime change. They're already defacto US protectorates from a defense perspective and the integrated financial systems.
Europe is a little trickier because the EU itself if divided between globalists states and nationalists ones... the 2025 US defense directive listed Italy Poland Hungary as countries that could be pulled in closer to the US, perhaps some ex-NATO/EU defense or economic compact.
France is its own power in many ways so a smaller EU could be centered around it, Germany is the biggest question... do nationalists take back the country or not.
Hard to figure out a smooth landing for europe generally because their economy is so hollowed out by globalism. Nationalists states will have to attract their expats back to rebuild, I think Italy is the test for that, do they get serious about deportations and econ reform. Reform UK looks like a step towards US alignment/statehood.
So the UK's crashing out of EU with Brexit may make your theory slightly easier?
the UK gets a seat at the table of the Anglosphere bloc, we keep the pound in our pocket, the dollars weakens enough for Bitcoin to get reserve status, Tradegy is nationalised by US gov and crossing the Atlantic for work or family gets easier for Brits, but we look independent on paper and not the 51st state.
Yea Brexit confirmed direction
Not sure the pound sticks around, but if it does it'd be in a free float against Bitcoin... Honestly don't see how the UK has enough of an economy to warrant it though, dollarization seems more likely.
The optics are important to your point, ultimately British nationalists would be the natural allies of integration, but rightly may want to appear independent even if the UK is functionally a state.
Ireland fits in somewhere here too.
Perhaps some papering like Russia does with Kazakhstan and Belarus
Interesting, could be a way to unite Ireland, the south initially swallowed the woke EU mind virus and the north has it's history that goes without saying, historically Ireland has major ties to US and could be a way forward, i'd push back about seeing dollars in London, the GBP will prevail if the state of UK is retained, if GB goes full US ownership then dollars ok, but far too much history for Brits to fall under the US umbrella
Yea it's tricky, when Trump was talking about Canada he mentioned them keeping their flag anthem and identity, that's so that's whispering the blueprint.
How the GBP floats against the dollar/bitcoin is ultimately all that matters, the SWIFT/swap-lines/Triffin Dollar system is dead... so it may be possible to keep it in the new framework.
Ireland definitely needs to be liberated, their PM was trending here on St. Paddy's day... there's more Irish in the US than in Ireland... would love to see some Connor McGregor as king psyop to make that happen lol
Ronald Reagan on Steroids :)
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WW's take decades to bubble up, but that also means there's decades of operations in advance to prevent or shape them
In many ways, it's already started... there's no shortage of writings about 5GW tactics, unrestricted warfare, employed by China. Not that we're innocent, CIA/MI6 have done those same type of tactics forever across the world.
Military build-ups are happening everywhere, but those are just as much deterrence during a period of change as anything else.
Have to go back further, much further. China was brought into the WTO in 2001, that was one catalyst towards the GFC.
Undoubtedly a psyop, but the purpose of a thing is what it does, and it was a major catalyst for the US to re-shore much of its supply chain and cast China in a negative light.
It also brought into the overton window the susceptibility of our elections to interference by foreign intelligence infiltration (5GW)
It was undoubtedly a WW3 operation as much as it was a psyop.
Covid was also an excuse to paper over a lot of the spending that would be needing to re-shore supply chains, the influx of new dollars actually de-leveraged private credit for years to enable new cap-ex
The Triffin Dilemma created a number of these issues in geopolitics to begin with, and the dollar was unsustainable and would have lead to a much more catastrophic collapse and weakening of the US were it not for Bitcoin to act as a battery for inflation and allow the dollar to re-collateralize. Bitcoin is also an answer to anything China might have attempted to export its own currency to finance a war effort.
We do need to see the countries, mostly Europe, that have been the beneficiaries of the Triffin Dollar hold the bag. Europe's pretty fucked already, I don't think it's over... with the exception of a few states like Italy Hungary and Poland being brought into something new.
Defacto annexing the Venezuela, border security, decapitating Iran, and not falling for the trap of a head-on with Russia over a few russian speaking Ukrainian provences, are all fortification for something with China.
Re-shoring chips though removes a major reason people will use to justify action against China over Taiwan. US taking VZ, and south america more generally with installations in Argentina, ES, and others... Russia taking parts of Ukraine (Baltics next?) may all be part of a back-room deal... a deal that lets China have Taiwan and avoid something expensive for all parties. Use Bitcoin for international settlement.
Defense partnerships around the pacific imply there will still be readiness in the pacific, especially if Taiwan is taken since that lets China out of the island chain... but it may just be militarized in the coming decades rather than an all out war over an island of little consequence to the US.
That's my base case, China gets Taiwan without much fuss... Russia pushes back NATO, US focuses on it's own hemisphere and sea lanes, Bitcoin levels the global financial system, and nothing spirals too crazy. All back-channel negotiated already, we're just watching disclosure played out theatrically for deniability.