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I’m not sure people are good at knowing whether an argument they don’t know how to counter is smart or stupid.
Mhh, good point. Maybe this is better?
when someone says something they think is incredibly smart, because they've never considered it before
I think we tend to think someone is smart when they surprise us with arguments, especially if it's on a topic we think we've spent a lot of time thinking about.
Blank stares are not a good indicator of how right you are.
Very true. Not my indicator of my rightness. Observing where California was in the 90s vs today and where other states are now. That is why indicator. As well as the direction I have seen these other states move during this time. Pretty easy to track.
I should have phrased it better. What it confirms for me is that they have no clue where things are moving. They are in denial. I do think some have never considered it and that's the blank stare.
Are you sure? I think people give blank stares when someone says something incredibly smart they’ve never considered, but also when something is incredibly stupid and they don’t know where to start, and are considering whether it’s even worth arguing about.
Blank stares are not a good indicator of how right you are.
Though I’m aware you’re a better judge of the situation you described.