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Why not both.
True.
What makes people think that if they could just convince them of some other theory it would make a difference?
I'm not sure it really would, but it is an interesting sociological point. I think it ties in with identity and signalling tribal allegiences. Even being red-pilled. You are not wrong to self identify as red-pilled and I even appreciate the point of view, but then what keeps a person from sliding into constant distrust and skepticism to the point of pathology? It reminds me of what you wrote a little while ago about bias.
Do you think it is by having belief in a power greater than man?
Having a world view that includes a positive narrative thread through history helps. I think the problem you describe is a deep consequence of modernities over-emphasizing the self. Because we have this false idea that we can be islands in a sea of other individuals we can drift into nialism.
Honestly most people that take a bottle of red pills... at least from my experience actually just start trusting a new tribe of scammers.
I think the solution is community. Knowing and being known. Building relationships. Rejecting the lie that the online world is real. It's fake. It matters but it isn't as important as we think it is.
Why not both. It's uncontested that the CIA sprayed stuff on US cities. But also, it is very unlikely that all contrails are government or corporations spraying things in the atmosphere.
Cloud seeding is another conspiracy theory that really is not a theory. Its just that people like to claim it is done when they can't prove it.
I've written about conspiracy theories a few times here and what I have noticed is how a certain group of people seem to beleive every theory they hear and make it easy for normies to keep their heads in the sand. Both extremes are not helpful.
The stuff the state has admitted to doing is bad enough to distrust it. We don't need to stretch it out. The majority don't even care about what is admitted. What makes people think that if they could just convince them of some other theory it would make a difference?
Most of these theories are based in truth but stretched out to absurdity. My meta theory is that state actors do this to hide the truth.
Bottom line, if Isreal killed A guy, or the US gov is spraying chemicals on the populace it makes no difference to my world view. I have long believed they would do anything to maintain power from history. None of these theories can make me more convinced the state is evil. Already red pilled.